Don't Gamble, GAMBLe: An Analytical Framework for AI-Driven Research Systems

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arXiv:2606.02863v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI-Driven Research Systems (ADRS) -- systems coupling LLMs with automated evaluation to discover algorithms, proofs, and designs -- are being optimized and adopted across domains, but the tools to analyze them have not kept pace. ADRS performance depends on component interactions that are poorly understood, expensive to explore, and (as we show) not well captured by standard convergence guarantees. These guarantees rely on structural assumptions t